The 2006 hurricane season will close with just 2 more named storms and 1 hurricane, according to the latest predictions from hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University. If proven correct, this would bring the total number of named storms in 2006 to 11, with 6 being eventually classed as hurricanes.
The team revealed that their analysis showed that the season to date had so far been average in the Atlantic basin and, due to developing El Niño conditions in the central and eastern Pacific, October is expected to have below average activity.
August had substantially below-average activity (only 45% of average) while September had above-average activity (about 140% of average). US landfall has been well below average, though, and no hurricanes have made landfall along the US coastline this year. The team judged this reduced seasonal activity to be due to mid-level dryness in the tropical Atlantic (with large amounts of African dust) which greatly reduced August activity and to the rapid late summer development of an El Niño event which we and nearly all ENSO forecasts did not anticipate.