Humberto focuses attention on the Gulf of Mexico, where conditions are “ripe for more activity”, warns RMS
"We are now in the peak of the hurricane season, and conditions in the Gulf of Mexico are ripe for more activity, said Claire Souch, senior director of model management at Risk Management Solutions (RMS), commenting on Category 1 storm Humberto.
“Attention so far has been on the open Atlantic because this is where hurricanes Dean and Felix formed, as well as the major storms of 2004 and 2005,” continued Souch.
“Humberto demonstrates that the Gulf of Mexico is a major breeding ground for hurricanes that can materialise quickly.”
Humberto struck Texas east of Galverston on 12 September.
"Humberto developed near the Texan coast, so it did not have the opportunity to gather momentum and reach major hurricane status,” said Souch.
“If the storm had formed further south in the Gulf, where waters are warmer and deeper, it would have had more time to intensify before striking land.
“The current position of two active tropical systems means that we are likely to see more activity over the coming week, so residents near the coast should be aware of the risk and adequately prepared.
Humberto took a very similar track to Tropical Storm Allison in 2001.
“Although Humberto is expected to cause flooding from excessive rainfall, it's likely to be far less damaging than Allison which stalled over Houston and led to three days of intense rain," said Souch